Showing posts with label best investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label best investment. Show all posts

Sunday, June 1, 2014

How to choose best investment?


Some lesson from Charlie Munger

In the investment world, if you want to learn fundamental of investment you cannot ignore Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. Almost all fund manager and banker across the globe learn the investment principal from both investment icons. Buffett admits in his one letter that before 50 year, Charlie had given him one advice that it is far better to buy a wonderful business at a fair price than to buy a fair business at a wonderful price.

Munger has given a lot of stress on the multiple mental models. In this model there are need to understand the various dynamics surrounding an investments both in its internal and external environment. One doesn't need to be an academic to tap these different models, including the modern Darwinian synthesis model from biology or cognitive misjudgment models from psychology. Indeed, Munger himself acknowledges that his understanding of these models is entirely self-taught.

According to Munger that any ordinary investor should follow preparation, patience, discipline, and objectivity. When practiced correctly, these attributes should result in buying great businesses at good prices and keeping one's portfolio turnover low. Munger considers every aspect of a business when considering a candidate for investment, evaluating management's character and capital allocation decision-making. He also analyzes a business' competitive advantages, mindful that few businesses endure for multiple generations. Thus, understanding a business' sustainable competitive advantages is critical. Munger pays close attention to the company's operating and regulatory environment, the impact on it from changes in technology, hidden exposures, and the current and future impacts of stock options, pension plans, and retiree medical benefits.

Munger holds the view that he should stick to his knitting when evaluating investment candidates. "Yes" candidates are easy-to-understand businesses with distinct and sustainable competitive advantages with a dominant franchise. He immediately dismisses other possibilities, especially in health care and technology, into what he calls the "too tough to understand" pile. Some of the core investment principles that Munger has espoused can be found in the excellent 2005 book Poor Charlie's Almanack, a collection of Munger's best talks, quotations, and thoughts.

If you want more information regarding investment or you have any other query about investment feel free to ask us.
Warm regards,

Arvind Trivedi
Certified Financial Planner

Friday, April 4, 2014

Do you realize the power of Compounding?

Do you realize the power of Compounding?

In our school days, all of us learnt about compound interest in mathematics. After leaving colleges we have got busy in different professions. Many of us know and understand the power of compounding. But unfortunately many of us have forgotten or do not realize the power of compounding.

The great scientist Albert Einstein had said that the most powerful thing in the universe is power of compounding. Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world.

Compound interest is same as simple interest, the only difference in it that the interest will be added to the principal amount at a certain amount. The formula of compound interest is

             A=P*(1+r/100)^n

Where A = Earned amount including interest, P= Principal Amount, r = rate of interest, n= time in years

Here I will take one example to understand the power of compounding.
If you have two below mentioned option:

(A) You will receive Rs 1,00,00,000 (One Crore) every day till one month (30 days)

(B) You will receive first day Rs 1 and the second day the just double than the previous day Rs 2 and the third day Rs 4 just double of second day. It means you will receive every day double money than previous day till one month. 1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128………..till one month (30 days).


Now tell me honestly without scroll below which option will you choose from the above mentioned options……?



If you choose option A you will get total Rs 30 crore after one month or 30 days. Seem cool deal…..But if you choose second option then you will get total Rs 1,07,37,41,823 at the end of one month or 30 days. I know you won’t believe this figure. How can a person earn so much money if you start getting only Rs 1 from the day one. In fact you had not thought about this figure. For your believing I would like to mention here the whole calculation.


Day
Amount
 1
1
2
2
3
4
4
8
5
16
6
32
7
64
8
128
9
256
10
512
11
1024
12
2048
13
4096
14
8192
15
16384
16
32768
17
65536
18
131072
19
262144
20
524288
21
1048576
22
2097152
23
4194304
24
8388608
25
16777216
26
33554432
27
67108864
28
134217728
29
268435456
30
536870912
Total Amount
1,07,37,41,823

After viewing the above calculation I am now sure now that all of our reader realize the power of compounding. It is the very basic thing before start investing. In fact most of us never realize the power of compounding in the long term.

If you want more information regarding investment or you have any other query about investment feel free to ask us.
Warm regards,

Arvind Trivedi
Certified Financial Planner