Showing posts with label Gold ETF. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gold ETF. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Gold : For Wealth Creator or Beating Inflation ?

Gold : For return generation or beating inflation ?

After discussing about equity and debt asset class, we are now going to talk about gold. From ancient time gold has a prominent position in our country. Gold is a precious metal. Almost every Indian has stored it no matter of the quantity. In India, we are gold obsessed people and the largest gold consumption country in the world. It is the reason after global decline in prices of gold its price has not gone down in India. The demand is still high after many efforts done by the government to curb the demand of it. 

Uncertain global economic market has also increased the demand of gold. Many of wealth managers now took it as a part of their portfolio. In my opinion gold as an asset class is hedge against the inflation.  One can take a limited exposure of gold in their portfolio. When equity and debt market not generate the return and even not beat the inflation then it comes to rescue for portfolio value. 

After 2007, the steep rise in gold prices has lured many investors and many of the investor has purchase significant quantity in their portfolio. I have repeatedly said to the investors and through my blogs for limited exposure of gold in the portfolio. Equity derives their value from companies, real estate derives their value from rental income but gold has no commercial use and produce nothing except gold ornament. There is nothing to evaluate the value of gold. Its price only depends on demand and supply. A very famous line about gold has said someone that the value of gold is in the eye of buyers. We cannot evaluate its true value.


Uses of Gold:
  • Worldwide central banks and governments hold gold as a reserve currency in uncertain economic condition. Gold can help hedge such risk of devaluation of money, inflation and deflation.
  • Many companies and banks are providing loan against gold. People pledge their gold and get loan instant. 
  • In India gold mostly uses in ornament form. People in India have special emotion for gold. The buy gold for many auspicious occasions like marriages, functions, festivals and etc.
  • Many fund managers buy it for portfolio diversification purpose.
Traditionally, in our country gold are purchased in the form of jewellery, coins and gold bar. It has many disadvantages like storage cost, making charges, quality issue, purchase at a premium and resell below market price. Due to these disadvantages people now adopt unconventional way to purchase gold like Gold ETF, Gold Mutual Fund, It offers lower storage cost, no quality issues, and better pricing.
If you want more information regarding investment realted or you have any other query about investment feel free to ask us.
Warm regards,

Arvind Trivedi
Certified Financial Planner

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Import gold duty hike and link gold ETF to gold lending

Good news for gold ETF investors
Increasing gold import bill and crude oil bill are the biggest cause of  worry to govt of India today. The government announced to raise duty on gold from 4% to 6% yesterday as the demand of gold is not reducing in our country and current account deficit is not coming down. To combat this situation the government has increased the duty on imported gold.
When we import the gold, our foreign reserve went out of the country. India has already imported gold worth 38 billion $ till third quarter of financial year 2012-13. This step is towards reducing demand and the improve the of forex reserves no.  
While it is still uncertain how much of an impact this 2% hike will make. Earlier such type of step we have already seenThe high price is driving the demand, and if the price goes any higher that will drive demand higher as well.
The other step is good news for ETF gold schemes investors. Apart gold duty hike, the other important announcement is linking gold ETF schemes to bank’s gold deposit schemes. When we buy a unit of a gold ETF, it represents about a gram of gold and the gold ETF sponsor buys and stores gold on your behalf with a custodian. This gold is lying idle and give no return at all.  The ETF’s gold will be linked to gold deposit schemes where gold merchant or jeweller can borrow the gold from banks and pay interest on this gold, and at a future date pay the money equivalent to the gold that they borrowed at the then prevailing price.
This will help reduce the import of gold to the extent that it is borrowed, but in the long term if the demand for gold doesn’t come down then it will not reduce imports, it will perhaps play a small role in delaying the imports but not make a long term impact on lowering gold imports or the current account deficit.
However, this would be good news for ETF owners because any interest or earning that the ETF earns out of lending gold will ultimately accrue to the owners and it would reflect in their schemes returns. The more details are still awaited, but if the lending starts, it would be good news for gold ETF investors.
Feel free to ask any queries related investment

Regards,
Arvind Trivedi
Certified Financial Planner